With the national elections on the horizon, South African politics is getting pretty tense.
Oh, and Patricia de Lille started the GOOD party, which no one really cares about.
How will it all turn out? BusinessTech looked into a report compiled by consulting firm Intellidex, that outlines five possible outcomes.
Here’s a table with a basic summary of the two good, two bad and one neutral possible outcomes of the upcoming election, followed by a more detailed explanation.
For the full-size table, click the image below:
For the sake of brevity, here are the so-called best and worst possible outcomes of the 2019 general election:
Positive outcome – probability 7,5%
Negative outcome one – probability 20%
The highest probability, 37,5%, belongs to the baseline scenario. This is basically a middle ground between the above two scenarios. Here we see growth economically, alongside some pushback against Ramamphosa. Eskom continues to be a problem – but we saw that one coming.
You can see a description of each of the outcomes, according to the report, here.
Also, if you aren’t registered to vote yet, this weekend is your last chance.
Take 20 seconds to find out if you’re registered here.
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