[imagesource: Gallo Images]
On November 1, South Africans take to the polls for our local government elections.
A sane society would totally rebuke the ANC for its brazen criminality, and the party’s ineptitude was once again laid bare as it failed to submit a full list of candidates to the Electoral Commission of SA (IEC) on time.
No bother at all, because the IEC has simply given political parties more time to register candidates, handing a massive lifeline to the ANC in the process.
That’s being challenged in court by the DA, but as of yet, their efforts have been unsuccessful.
All that aside, let’s take a look at what voting trends can tell us via Ipsos’ latest report.
During the period between August 16 and August 20, Ipsos interviewed 1 501 randomly selected adults.
It’s a stretch to say the findings can be used to accurately predict the outcome of the November 1 elections, but it’s the best and most recent data we have to go on.
Not every voter who is eligible to vote will, but roughly seven out of 10 respondents said they would.
The data suggest they would also support a wide variety of parties…
Countrywide almost half (49.3%) will draw a cross next to the name of the ANC, while the support for both the DA (17.9%) and the EFF (14.5%) respectively, is also in double figures. South Africa has a plethora of registered political parties, but very few of them currently garner more than one percent of support.
Ipsos compiled the results into this graph:
In 2019’s national elections, the ANC received 57,5% of the votes, the DA 20,77%, and the EFF 10,8%.
Local government elections are a different beast, but that’s a sharp drop for the ANC and the DA.
To compare apples with apples, and Ipsos’ findings with the 2016 local government election results, here’s BusinessTech
Notably, this would represent a loss in support for the ANC and DA – who received 55.65% and 24.57% of the vote in 2016, respectively – and a large gain for the EFF, which received 8.31% in the prior elections.
I’m sure Juju is well chuffed.
A reminder that you can now register to vote online, while already registered voters can easily update and amend their details.
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